Quantum Threat Timeline
2024-2026:
Warning Phase
Early experimentation with quantum attacks on classical cryptography
• Early experimentation and proof-of-concept quantum attacks begin.
• Governments and organizations start recognizing the quantum threat.
2027-2030
Breakthrough
Large-scale quantum computers expected to break RSA-2048 encryption
• Advancements in quantum computing make classical encryption increasingly vulnerable.
• Large-scale quantum computers emerge, accelerating cryptanalysis research.
• Urgency to transition to post-quantum cryptography intensifies.
2030+
Disruption
Classical encryption becomes obsolete, requiring immediate PQC adoption
• Quantum computers reach the capability to break RSA-2048 and ECC encryption.
• Classical cryptographic defenses become obsolete.
• Organizations that haven’t transitioned to PQC face severe security risks.
Estimated Time to Break RSA-2048
A comparison between the decryption speeds - Classical vs. Quantum Computers
No Data Found
No Data Found